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Newsweek’s Daniel Gross explains the Consumer Price Index (here’s the official BLS site) in a very simple video. I could do without the goofy sound effects, but it’s a good, 2 minute explanation of how the government tracks inflation.

Per David Simon’s Berkeley talk, though, the video doesn’t go into why this matters. Perhaps they’ll cover that in the next installment of the Economics 101 series.

(via @newsweek, Newsweek’s Twitter feed)

2:42 pm | leave a comment
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This is the entire post, click through if you want to see the underlying survey:

A new Research 2000 poll found that if Connecticut voters could vote again in the 2006 U.S. Senate race they would have elected Ned Lamont (D) over Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I), 51% to 36%, with Alan Schlesinger (R) getting 7%.

I was right about Bush, right about Lieberman… do you really want to doubt me a third time? Vote Obama or we’ll be having this conversation in another 4 years. ;-)

Update: Even better from the DKos post linked at the above post:

Other findings from the poll — Obama crushes McCain 57-35 in Connecticut, and Lieberman would actually hurt McCain on the ticket in the state. Let’s hope McCain picks him.

I have to imagine that in every safe Democratic state, Lieberman would hurt McCain. However, we know him best in this state and, trust me, he’s a terrible Senator.

4:21 pm | leave a comment

As a CT resident, who has to watch this up close and personal, Markos’s take is important. Check the link below, and also this piece at TPM.

6:37 pm | leave a comment

Still not a great feeling about how this ended. Not sure there’s much to do about it except publicize it further.

12:42 pm | leave a comment

Wow, this is a big deal if it is true that the CT AG didn’t disclose the FBI’s results here. While the hacking accusations were, ultimately, a minor issue, the fact is that the Lieberman campaign basically lied about this from the beginning. It’s the kind of story that, sadly, gets traction because the media can explain it easily and could’ve made a difference in the election that year.

12:38 am | leave a comment

CNN, MSNBC, and NPR have all called the CT Senate race for Joe Lieberman, and while I’m extraordinarily disappointed, I’m not surprised. Polls as late as this weekend were showing a large lead for Lieberman and, as I found out today, many people come to the polls today knowing how they were going to vote.

Even with that disappointment, I’ve really enjoyed tonight. I’m writing this before the results are in for the Senate and House, so we’ll see how I feel in the morning. So far, though, it’s been a decent night.

I volunteered for the Ned Lamont campaign outside a local polling station. I was there to hold a sign and greet voters as they came in. I ended up being the volunteer that called in the final vote totals to the campaign so I stayed to watch them do the final counts for the precinct. It was really cool to see them go through the steps, making sure that two people read the counts from the machines, that the numbers were read aloud loudly and clearly to everyone in the room, and that the serial numbers and the records were kept correctly. Little actions and the hard work of a number of dedicated individuals. That’s what makes all of this work, and it was great being there during the counts.

Calling in the vote to the campaign was a bit of an adventure. The campaign was using phone system to tally the votes and it was clearly overwhelmed tonight. It took several tries to get the numbers in without the system hanging up on me. They used text messages as a backup which seemed to work.

I’m happy seeing people coming out to vote, especially those that are there super-early when Heidi and I go and those people who were running up at 7:50PM tonight doing what they could to get in. People take this seriously, and it’s awesome to see people voting.

So, even with the disappointment here with Lamont, I’m pretty happy tonight. I’m ecstatic that Nancy Johnson lost after seeing some of the horrible, untrue ads she was running here. While many of the local campaigns were run in a decent way, her campaign was my poster child for dishonesty. It looks, right now, like Shays and Simmons will hold on to their seats and that’s a disappointment.

Our local races have been going well. Beth Bye looks to have a lead right now with Avon and West Hartford completely counted (not sure about Farmington). I met the husband of her opponent today who seems like a nice guy. They were hopeful at 8PM. It will be interesting to see the precinct breakdowns for that one. The other Democrats were a lock, more or less, so no surprises there.

Nationally, things look decent right now. I can’t believe that Senator Allen is still neck and neck with Webb in Virginia. It seems like Virginia might be the last place that a racist could run and win a Senate race. I’m happy about the ones you’d expect, Casey Jr, Menendez, and Brown. I’ll have more to say later tonight.

So, six more years of stubborn Joe Lieberman. I still stand by the rest of my predictions, so we’ll see how this works out.

10:57 pm | leave a comment

This election is about improving the state of Iraq, improving the war on terrorism, and basically returning some semblance of debate and discussion to Washington. It’s time to end one party rule, and then work to fix so many things.

Joe Lieberman has indicated that he’s going to caucus with the Democrats if he wins, and a lot of people believe that voting for Joe is in the end the same as voting for a real Democrat. This is a mistake and Joe Lieberman has given yet another example of how he’s more concerned about aligning with the President than he is for a new infusion of ideas and debate. From today’s Hartford Courant:

Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman, a lifelong Democrat and student of politics, blanked when asked if America would be better off with his party regaining control of the U.S. House of Representatives.

“Uh, I haven’t thought about that enough to give an answer,” Lieberman said, as though Democrats’ strong prospects for recapturing the House hadn’t been the fall’s top political story.

Yeah, he’s planning on staying with the Democratic caucus after the election. Right.

Look, it’s really simple. Yes, Joe Lieberman seems like a nice guy, but he’s completely rudderless right now. He’s a loose cannon and more likely to join with Republicans on all of the major issues of the day. We’ve royally screwed up another country and have had little oversight over basic issues like how contracts are being executed in Iraq. All we need to make a substantial improvements in Iraq is a Congress (even one house) that is committed to real oversight and real investigation.

Joe Lieberman isn’t committed to that plan, and he’s not committed to oversight. It might just be that he’s afraid because on most of the issues that require investigation and oversight, Joe Lieberman has sided with the administration. He’s more interested in just staying in Congress than actually doing his job when he’s there. Add to that the sheer dishonesty with which Lieberman and his spokesman Gerstein have run his campaign and the choice is clear.

The only choice this fall for Senator is Ned Lamont. Vote Ned in 2006!

12:38 pm | leave a comment

Only 2 days before the primary election and finally, finally Sen. Lieberman addresses the quote:

I know that statement has been widely misconstrued, so let me address it head on. I did not suggest that the President or anyone else — including me — should be immune from criticism. The best proof of that is I myself have challenged the President’s policies on many occasions.

The point I was trying to make was about how we disagree. My concern was, and remains, that if opponents or supporters of the war go beyond disagreeing to exploiting the war for partisan political purposes, much like Republicans did to Max Cleland on homeland security, we could lose more than an election. We could put our mission in Iraq, the lives of thousands of American soldiers carrying it out, and our national security at risk. That is what I care about.

It’s too bad for the Senator that this statement is one of many he’s made along the same lines. It’s simply the most concise expression of his views on dissent and the role of the minority party. Lieberman seems to be unable to connect the fact that disagreeing without actually winning elections results in a lot of hot air and no action. In his world, exploiting for political purposes is anything that allows a party to campaign and win.

The Republicans don’t care about what the Democrats have to say. They simply don’t give a jot. Without actual debate and effective compromise on the part of Republicans, Democrats have no choice but to get elected to change policy. That means talking about the war in a partisan way, with a political context. You can’t get elected if you can’t tie your election to results.

That’s what Lieberman doesn’t understand. He’s very proud taking bipartisan action. Unfortunately, those bipartisan agreements are shams. Too often, Lieberman values bipartisanship over actual leadership.

Even all of that is less important than the final reality. He’s moved far away from what his constituents, especially in the Democratic party, want. A lot of people (we’ll find out how many come Tuesday) simply don’t agree with the Senator on many of the major issues of the day. We feel like he is more interested in talking about his so-called convictions and talking to Sean Hannity and getting on Fox News than actually representing his constituency.

He’s a great Senator when it comes to showpiece votes that don’t matter. When faced with an opportunity to exercise leadership, he does nothing. That is the real Joe Lieberman, and that’s why we’re even talking about Ned Lamont.

6:00 pm | leave a comment

Stephen Colbert is my hero:

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Via My Left Nutmeg.

2:10 am | leave a comment

After watching the Lamont/Lieberman debate tonight, Heidi and I headed down to Tisane for a Lamont meet-and-greet. Got to shake his hand, mutter something incoherent because I was a bit star-struck, not so much that he was a star, but that I really didn’t have anything to say. Nice job, go get ‘em?

I have a lot of trouble with things like this because I’m not a fan type. I also feel pretty strongly that I don’t want to bother the guy, since I put myself in his place and think about always being “on” for hours at a time, making sure to be nice and chit chat with lots of people. So many supporters were there that I’m sure he was ready to get out of there by the time we finally caught up to him (he was actually out the door at that point).

Anyway, the debate I thought went pretty well for Lamont. Lieberman is definitely the more polished of the two, as he smoothly worked campaign clichés into each answer. In the end, however, I was reminded of the Bush campaigns of 2004 as Lieberman pulled out a script that looked too much like the Bush card. He called Lamont a flip-flopper, a liar, and in bed with the far left. Of course, Lieberman also accused Lamont of being too close to Republicans, so coherency wasn’t exactly at the top of Lieberman’s list of accomplishments.

The one salient point that Lieberman was able to drive home, and it was clear that this was an area where the candidates are truly different, was the fact that Lieberman brings home the bacon. For all the talk of having a lobbying-free Congress, the fact of the matter is that people love government contracts. Government spending creates jobs and people respond to that. The saving of the sub base in New London was a big deal around here, and the new contracts for Electric Boat were also well covered in the news. Lieberman has some seniority after 18 years and it clearly will be a loss for the state if he loses.

Lamont took the principled position on this issue (earmarks should be eliminated), and ultimately that’s what this race is going to be about. Having an 18 year incumbent guarantees a lot of pork and a place at the front of the line for funding. On the other hand, Lamont brings a fresh energy and very different and popular positions on issues from Iraq to healthcare reform.

So, it comes down to how many voters identify will value the pork over the legitimate issues with Lieberman’s recent behavior. It will be a tough race, but I think Ned Lamont can pull this off.

Update: CT Local Politics has an excellent summary of the debate up. I couldn’t agree more about the “angry Joe” comment, by the way. He behaved like an arrogant jerk during the first 15 minutes, wagging his finger and trying to talk over Lamont. It’s funny, because that’s a theme in this race. A lot of people, myself included, are impressed with how “normal” Lamont seems while Joe seems to personify the arrogance of this administration talking down to experts and the public alike.

10:44 pm | 1 comment

Excerpt:

I realize local candidates are afraid to speak out against Lieberman because he has threatened to suck up all the state party’s money in order to promote himself if need be and cut them all off, but it would be nice to see some leadership from people like Chris Dodd who should be looking out for the good of the state party, period, and get out of the Joe Lieberman protection racket.  Joe has turned local Democrats against each other in an ugly battle — it was the Blue and the Gray over potato salad yesterday, with lifelong friends turning their backs on each other as Joe forces everyone to choose sides.  If Dodd is hoping to make a 2008 Presidential bid, right about now would be a good time to stop running for cover and do the right thing. 

8:08 pm | leave a comment

You can watch Sen. Lieberman explain it all, including his attempt to imply that Lamont will buy the seat, even though Lieberman has out spent and out fundraised Lamont by over seven times. Despicable.

Excerpt:

I had trouble coming up with a headline because he makes so many outrageous claims. He said he’s taking out an insurance policy. Write your own headline…

One other note: King, who’s interviewing Lieberman in this video clip, generally is sympathetic to the White House in his reporting. He’s CNN’s White House correspondent and generally seems to believe what they tell him. Don’t think it matters in this particular case, but I’ve watched him a lot on TV.

Update: Slight correction to the fundraising numbers. I don’t think it’s quite 7 times. Check out my update for more info

12:42 am | leave a comment

This is the sort of stuff that gets me upset. I can support a candidate I disagree with on certain issues, even if they’re important issues as long as, on the balance, I agree with most things the candidate stands for. Sen. Lieberman almost comes out on the plus side for me, but it’s the utter and complete nonsense that he’s been spewing lately on everything that makes me want him gone. Take this typical example I found at Obsidian Wings:

Lieberman’s statement is completely disingenuous. He says that he’s worried that Lamont might outspend him:

“what if my opponent, who says he is worth somewhere between $90 and $300 million decides to write bigger and bigger checks in the last weeks of the campaign?”

That’s just laughable. Last I heard, one of the main reasons Lamont didn’t do even better in the state convention was that Lieberman brings in a lot of campaign contributions that other people in the party depend on. But I decided to check with OpenSecrets to see whether Lamont’s fundraising had outstripped Lieberman’s while I was busy reading Hamdan. But no: as of June 1, Lieberman had raised almost ten times as much as Lamont, and had spent $3,929,450 to Lamont’s $597,279. Despite spending nearly seven times as much as Lamont, Lieberman continues to drop in the polls. Somehow, I don’t think that money is Lieberman’s main problem, nor do I think that what he’s really worried about is Lamont outspending him by so much that it somehow blocks the will of the people.

As an aside, I like Obsidian Wings because it has writers on both sides of the aisle that try to actually debate with facts rather than the attack debates practiced at many other blogs. It’s what I had hoped FatMixx would become. Highly recommend ObWi.

Anyway, Lieberman is trying to plant the notion in the public’s mind that somehow Lamont is outspending him. It’s not even close. And it’s the same garbage that the push pollers pulled in South Carolina against McCain in 2000 (though that was far more despicable). All Lamont needs is a nice little graphic to describe the fundraising difference. Hmmm, that’s not a bad idea. I’ve lost a lot of respect for Senator Lieberman over the past few months as I’ve seen how he behaves as he realizes he might lose.

Lieberman is also trying to make this seem like a one issue campaign. It’s most definitely not. There definitely are old school Democrats and liberals here who cut their teeth during the Vietnam era and feel very passionately about the war. It is overriding for them. There are just as many if not many more liberals and Democrats like me, though, that feel like Lieberman has abandoned us.

His stance on the war was forgivable, in my mind. It’s everything else he’s done (or not done) that bothers me. In particular, he joined with Republicans on issues without substance when any honest political observer (on either side) should’ve simply called BS on the whole damn thing. The whole Schiavo debacle comes to mind, as does his defense of blind obedience to the President.

To me, keeping government out of personal moral decisions is paramount as is a healthy, honest debate on all issues. This is as close to an absolute as you’ll hear out of me. These are guiding principles, not simple issue positions. Lieberman doesn’t seem to agree with me, so he won’t get my vote. Lamont does agree with me, and so he will get mine.

10:25 pm | 1 comment

Sen. Lieberman has announced today that if he loses the primary on Aug. 8th, he’s going to run as an independent candidate. Democrats who are choosing to vote in the primary should remember that when they head to the polls in August. He doesn’t care what you think, he just wants to be in Congress.

Granted, he’s probably going to win a three-way race, so this makes perfect sense for him. If he does win the general election in spite of jumping ship, then clearly he deserves to be there. This doesn’t really change that. What it points to, though, is the complete and utter hypocrisy of his “I’m really a Democrat” ad campaign.

This brings up an interesting quandary for Sen. Lieberman. Does he fight for the Democratic nomination? Or does he save up and plan to crush Lamont with his treasure chest come November? Will Republicans choose Joe over the Republican candidate to beat Ned this November? This should be interesting.

Hopefully Ned Lamont will win the Democratic primary so at the very least we don’t have to hear Liberman quoted as a Democrat anymore. That alone would make me happy.

Update: Of course, LamontBlog has something to say about this. As they remind us:

Just like when Joe ran for Vice President and Senate at the same time in 2000 - meaning that if he and Gore had won, Democrats would have lost a senate seat to a Republican appointment - he is again putting his own career and self-interest ahead of his constitutents and his party (or now ex-party).

I don’t believe that it’s a lock that Lieberman will lose the primary, so I have to disagree with LamontBlog on that. I think that Lieberman is doing what he did in 2000, making sure he has a job instead of thinking about what’s best for country and state.

I’ve been laying off the rah-rah Lamont stuff on FatMixx because I know that most of the regulars at FatMixx just don’t care at all, but just based on this story today I have to point out that around my neighborhood, I’ve seen zero Liberman signs and a number of Lamont signs out on yards. There are 4 just on the half-mile drive to the highway onramp, including mine. We drove up to Bloomfield yesterday to go to Lowe’s and saw a lot of Lamont signs. We did see a number of Lieberman signs, too, mostly in front of the mansions up on Prospect. In general, we saw way more Lamont signs. I’m pretty sure I know how the Democrats of Connecticut’s first district will be voting. Of course, Lieberman is from down by New Haven, I think, so it will be interesting to see how the other districts go (Lamont is from Fairfield county, also a wealthy part of the state).

1:21 pm | 1 comment

This came up at dinner last night with some of our friends. Seems there was some concern about Lamont having said he supported the flag burning amendment. This article does the standard he said/he said act, but I think lays it out.

Excerpt:

In recent weeks, though, word has circulated around American Legion circles that that might change - if Democratic challenger Ned Lamont wins Joseph Lieberman’s Senate seat.

“I’ve heard from several people that he supports the amendment,” said state American Legion Commander Edward J. Carney Jr.

Trouble is, Lamont says that’s not true. In fact, he said Tuesday, the flag-burning amendment is “a waste of time, a terrible distraction.” He agrees with Lieberman and Sen. Christopher J. Dodd that while flag desecration is deplorable, it shouldn’t be the cause for altering the Constitution.

That’s a surprise to Chuck Berry, the American Legion state adjutant. Berry says he sat across from Lamont in the Rocky Hill Marriott dining room recently and Lamont told him flatly the amendment was a “no-brainer.”

12:15 am | leave a comment

A decent editorial today shows the strategy Sen. Joe Lieberman is taking to convince Democrats he’s really a Democrat. More importantly, he’s trying to show local Democrats he really votes the way his constituents would want. Lieberman touts his scorecards with issue groups, but those don’t include procedural votes that truly affect the outcome of legislation. It’s one thing to take the easy stands on votes that don’t matter. It’s yet another to really stand up and fight for things that are wrong. Lieberman has a nice scorecard but he has no battle scars. On how many issues has he stood up for the citizens of our state where he actually won something for his constituents?

When defense contractors and big campaign contributors weren’t involved, his list is nearly at zero.

On a related note, today was Celebrate! West Hartford in our lovely town. Every year, the Republicans and Democrats have booths at the festival. Walking by the Democratic booth, and walking around the fair, I saw many, many, many people asking about Ned Lamont. Our neighbor was working the booth (though not for Lamont), so we stopped to chat with him for a while. During that time, I saw several people come up for stickers and bumper stickers. I saw many people around the festival wearing Lamont stickers on their shirts and jackets. Lieberman’s folks had a table at the booth as well and no one came up during that time. I saw no signs or stickers for the Senator, either. West Hartford is a large district in CT, and while it’s hard to draw any hard conclusions from this about Lieberman, it’s clear that Lamont’s name is getting out there and he has supporters.

Heidi’s department had a faculty picnic tonight at the chairperson’s home. On our way there, we also saw surprisingly many houses with Lamont signs out front (including our own). Against an incumbent like Lieberman, it’s surprising to see such visible support out among the community.

Lieberman has a fight on his hand, and August 8th is going to be a big day in Connecticut.

9:13 pm | leave a comment

Hopefully, this coming week I’ll be attending my first meeting as a volunteer on Ned Lamont’s campaign to replace Joe Lieberman as our junior senator from CT. I’m not sure how much I’ll be able to help, or whether I’ll even like being a volunteer, but I’m tired of just writing about these things.

So why this race? After all, it’s simply a primary campaign to replace a Democrat with yet another Democrat. In the great scheme of things, it’s not changing the balance of Congress at all. Well, for one thing, I can actually do something here. This is in my state, and it’s my voice that’s being mangled in Congress. The second reason is that the principle here matters. Respect for the Constitution, not the President, needs to be topmost in a senator’s mind. It’s the other way around for Senator Lieberman.

Sen. Lieberman is too caught up in the appearance of being a non-partisan to actually do his job effectively. He doesn’t champion oversight, routinely sells out constituencies he then uses to boost his campaigns, and generally does little to reflect the views of this rather socially liberal and fiscally moderate state in Congress.

Like Senator McCain, the myth belies the reality. Sen. Lieberman isn’t a centrist. He’s no champion of bipartisanship. He’s simply follows the President around like a lap dog. Rarely has Lieberman stood up to any Presidential policy position that were at odds with his own stated principles or policy positions. That is a disservice to the constituencies back home where Bush’s approval ratings are at a meager 31% (SurveyUSA tracking poll). It’s also a disservice to the nation at large. Anyone who says

It’s time for Democrats who distrust President Bush to acknowledge he’ll be commander-in-chief for three more years. We undermine the president’s credibility at our nation’s peril.

isn’t doing his job. Congress’s job is not “support the President no matter what.” It’s to work with the President and the judiciary, perform their constitutional duties, and, if necessary, provide a check against overreach by other branches. Our job as citizens isn’t to quietly support every policy position by the Republicans or the President. Without reasoned debate and challenges by the minority party, we have no balance in our discourse and no informed decision making by Congress at large.

On the particular issues of Congressional oversight and the Iraq war, I agree with Lamont. His statement on energy independence is almost exactly what I believe. For those reasons, and to get rid of Joe Lieberman, I’m with Ned Lamont in 2006.

If you’re in CT or care about these issues, consider donating to Lamont’s campaign, too!

(Connecticut’s Primary is on August 8th, 2006)

12:31 pm | 1 comment