If you’ve been following the news at all, you know that Iran is the next, great threat to our nation. You might argue that it was a greater threat in 2002 than Iraq, but we can leave that aside for now. The Bush administration has one response to any identified threat (real or imaginary): military force. Since they’ve pretty much screwed up diplomacy at every level, I’m not really sure what else they’re really able to do. Since our military is taxed right now occupying a country, the administration is considering various military strikes. According to Sy Hersh and later confirmed by the Washington Post, those plans include a large scale bombing effort that could include nuclear tactical weapons (bunker buster nukes).
While Bush has been categorically denying plans for airstrikes in Iran, remember that he was doing the same about Iraq in late 2002. We’ve since found out that planning started in earnest before diplomacy had been given a chance, and that the diplomacy was shaped around a military timeline first. In other words, the administration never really tried to consider another solution to the problem of Iraq. Military first, military last. Diplomacy is really just about getting basing and airspace rights.
Our prestige has suffered internationally. More nations are skeptical of claims by the Administration on any front. The latest Pew survey of global opinion (6/2005) shows that U.S. image is still negative, though it is up from the recent lows. From another report (3/2004), people in other countries view Iraq as a mistake:
These notions are not shared elsewhere. Majorities in Germany, Turkey and France – and half of the British and Russians – believe the conflict in Iraq undermined the war on terrorism. At least half the respondents in the eight other countries view the U.S. as less trustworthy as a consequence of the war. For the most part, even U.S. military prowess is not seen in a better light as a result of the war in Iraq.
On the domestic front, we’re not doing much to improve that image. An editorial in the NYTimes, How to Lose the Brain Race, expresses concern about the immigration debate hurting our long term economic growth. Looking at the current proposals on the table, the op-ed makes a case for maintaining foreign student inflows:
Senator Feinstein insisted that the bill call for some fees for foreign students applying to study at American colleges and universities to be doubled, and also demanded that agribusiness get the right to 1.5 million low-wage foreign guest workers over five years. Combined, the two proposals sent a message to the rest of the world: send us your brawn, not your brains.
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In making immigration laws, Congress caters to cheap-labor industries like agribusiness and sweatshop manufacturing while shortchanging the high-tech, high-wage industries on which the future of the American economy depends.
Both of these things are related because they influence each other. One simply needs to take a look at Indians to understand this. A February report about world opinion shows that Indians are the only foreign populace to view Bush favorably. Their explanation of why is telling:
America remains a land of opportunity for many Indians. Asked where they would recommend that a young person move in order to lead a good life, a 38% plurality of Indians choose the United States. This finding may seem a weak endorsement, given America’s longstanding image as a hopeful new world for immigrants; however, in no other country does even a plurality recommend the U.S. to the hypothetical young person searching for a better life. In other countries, Australia, Canada, Great Britain, and Germany are all more popular choices. After India, Poland has the second largest share of respondents recommending the United States - and only one-in-five Poles (19%) suggests America as a destination.
What we choose to do with Iran and what we choose to do with immigration will define this country for the next century. With Iran, if we go the nuclear route and attack yet another country, that will hurt our image abroad even more. Billmon has an excellent piece exploring what the world might look like if the U.S. uses tactical nukes. It’s not nuclear winter or mutually assured destruction, but the annihilation of our image abroad.
With immigration, we could change one of the hallmarks of this country. We need bright people, no matter where they hail from, to create businesses and bring ideas here. The more research that happens at American universities, the stronger our nation becomes. Fanning the flames of xenophobia will only hurt our country in the long run. Pandering to low wage industries will do the same.
We stand at a crossroads. This administration wins support by playing to peoples’ fears on globalization, terrorism, and immigration. It’s no wonder that folks are responding. When your leaders tell you, “Look how scary this is. Thank God you have us to protect you,” of course people will begin to give in to that fear. Every time they have taken a principled stand (the rare times they do), they’ve quickly folded the moment their polls start heading south on Iraq or on corruption issues.